Orleans County vs. Vermont
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Total Employment Growth and Change, 1969-2022
Introduction
Orleans County vs. Vermont
Orleans County:
2022 Jobs = 16,446
2022 Percent of State = 3.77%
Vermont:
2022 Jobs = 436,306
2022 Percent of U.S. = 0.21%
Employment numbers remain the most popular and frequently cited statistics used for tracking local area economic conditions and trends. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) employment estimates reported measure the number of full- and part-time wage and salary employees, plus the number of proprietors of unincorporated businesses. People holding more than one job are counted in the employment estimates for each job they hold. This means BEA employment estimates represent a job count, not a people count. Also, BEA employment is by place-of-work, rather than by place-of-residence. Jobs held by neighboring county residents who commute to Orleans County to work are included in the employment count for Orleans County.
Data Definition:
The BEA employment series for states and local areas comprises estimates of the number of jobs, full-time plus part-time, by place of work. Full-time and part-time jobs are counted at equal weight. Employees, sole proprietors, and active partners are included, but unpaid family workers and volunteers are not included. Proprietors employment consists of the number of sole proprietorships and the number of partners in partnerships. The description "by place of work" applies to the wage and salary portion of the series and, with relatively little error, to the entire series. The proprietors employment portion of the series, however, is more nearly by place of residence because, for nonfarm sole proprietorships, the estimates are based on IRS tax data that reflect the address from which the proprietor's individual tax return is filed, which is usually the proprietor's residence. The nonfarm partnership portion of the proprietors employment series reflects the tax-filing address of the partnership, which may be either the residence of one of the partners or the business address of the partnership. The employment estimates are designed to be consistent with the estimates of wages and salaries and proprietors' income that are part of the personal income series. The employment estimates are based on the same sets of source data as the corresponding earnings estimates and are prepared with parallel methodologies. Two forms of proprietors' income-the income of limited partnerships and the income of tax-exempt cooperatives-have no corresponding employment estimates.
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Orleans County's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Orleans County's total employment rose from 8,903 in 1969 to 16,446 in 2022, for a net gain of 7,543, or 84.72%.
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Vermont's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Vermont's total employment rose from 202,578 in 1969 to 436,306 in 2022, for a net gain of 233,728, or 115.38%.
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Orleans County's total employment growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Vermont, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's total employment in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the total employments in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in total employment growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Orleans County's overall total employment growth was 84.72% over 1969-2022 trailed Vermont's increase of 115.38%, and fell below the United States' increase of 133.32%.
Total Employment as a Percent of the Vermont Total: 1969-2022
Total Employment as a Percent of the Vermont Total: 1969-2022
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the total employment growth of Orleans County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Vermont's statewide total employment over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total employment grew faster, or declined less, than Vermont's total employment, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Orleans County's total employment comprised 4.39% of Vermont's total employment, while in 2022 it equated to 3.77% thereby yielding a -0.63% share-shift.
   
 
Total Employment Share-Shift
2022 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2022
vs.
1969
-0.63%
=
3.77%
-
4.39%
 
   
Orleans County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Orleans County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Orleans County's total employment growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Orleans County's total employment grew at an annual rate of 1.19% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 1978 (9.45%) and recorded its lowest growth in 2020 (-5.98%). In 2022, Orleans County's total employment grew by 2.88%
Orleans County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Orleans County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again traces the annual percent change in Orleans County's total employment since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022.
During the 1970s, Orleans County's annual total employment growth rate averaged 2.03%. It averaged 1.14% throughout the 1980s, 1.44% in the 1990s, 1.08% during the 2000s, 0.61% during the 2010s, 0.09% thus far this decade (2020-2022).
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Orleans County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Vermont and the nation. As the chart reveals, Orleans County's average annual total employment growth fell below Vermont's average in the 1970s (2.03% vs. 2.57%), amounted to less than Vermont's average in the 1980s (1.14% vs. 2.74%), outperformed Vermont's average throughout the 1990s (1.44% vs. 1.35%), surpassed Vermont's average in the 2000s (1.08% vs. 0.62%), recorded above Vermont's average in the 2010s (0.61% vs. 0.46%), and amounted to less than Vermont's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (0.09% vs. 0.31%).
Finally, relative to nationwide total employment growth trends, Orleans County recorded underneath the nation over the 1970s (2.03% vs. 2.21%), lagged the nation throughout the 1980s (1.14% vs. 1.88%), fell under the nation in the 1990s (1.44% vs. 1.73%), led the nation over the 2000s (1.08% vs. 0.74%), recorded underneath the nation in the 2010s (0.61% vs. 1.51%), and trailed the nation over 2020-2022 (0.09% vs. 1.82%).
   
 
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.19
2.03
1.14
1.44
1.08
0.61
0.09
2.88
 
1.48
2.57
2.74
1.35
0.62
0.46
0.31
3.58
 
1.62
2.21
1.88
1.73
0.74
1.51
1.82
4.78
 
   
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2022
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2022
Figure 8.
The job ratios shown in Figure 8 for Orleans County, Vermont and the nation not only portray a number of important trends, they also serves as a thumbnail guide to evaluating an economy's capacity to generate enough jobs fast enough to absorb the increasing number of workers attendant to a growing population. The job ratio is the number of full-time and part-time jobs by place of work, divided by population.
Nationally, the job ratio rose from 0.45 to 0.64 between 1969 and 2022. Orleans County's job ratio registered 0.44 in 1969, and 0.59 in 2022. Underlying the rising job ratio over the past several decades have been the increases in the labor force participation rates, with the number and proportion of women in the labor market playing a leading role.
An assortment of other factors can contribute to regional differences in the job ratio. They include differences in the proportion of elderly and retirees who no longer work and participate in the labor force, differences in the number and proportion of part-time vs. full-time workers, differences in industry composition, and differences in age and sex distribution and degree of urbanization. Also, a disproportionate number of workers commuting to work outside a county tends to lower its local county job ratio, while a net inflow of workers commuting to work inside the county tends to augment its local county job ratio.
Avoid interpreting the job ratio as the fraction (or percent) of the local population employed. This interpretation should only apply to the "employment-population ratio" statistic compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) from the Current Population Survey (CPS).
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2022
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2022
Figure 9.
To highlight trends in a local job ratio relative to nationwide trends, Figure 9 tracks Orleans County's, Vermont's job ratio as a percent of the national job ratio over 1969-2022.

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Orleans County:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
8,903
100.0
N
4.39
0.44
98.37
1970
 
9,078
102.0
1.97
4.43
0.45
100.37
1971
 
9,173
103.0
1.05
4.46
0.45
101.28
1972
 
9,321
104.7
1.61
4.41
0.44
98.73
1973
 
9,521
106.9
2.15
4.33
0.45
95.70
1974
 
9,628
108.1
1.12
4.33
0.45
94.97
1975
 
9,329
104.8
-3.11
4.23
0.42
92.27
1976
 
9,892
111.1
6.03
4.33
0.44
93.67
1977
 
10,052
112.9
1.62
4.25
0.44
92.12
1978
 
11,002
123.6
9.45
4.37
0.47
95.96
1979
 
10,827
121.6
-1.59
4.15
0.46
90.86
1980
 
10,927
122.7
0.92
4.11
0.47
92.91
1981
 
10,672
119.9
-2.33
3.95
0.46
91.03
1982
 
10,357
116.3
-2.95
3.82
0.44
89.88
1983
 
10,855
121.9
4.81
3.91
0.46
93.85
1984
 
11,277
126.7
3.89
3.91
0.48
94.00
1985
 
11,153
125.3
-1.10
3.72
0.48
91.72
1986
 
11,384
127.9
2.07
3.66
0.49
93.00
1987
 
11,534
129.6
1.32
3.60
0.49
92.45
1988
 
12,089
135.8
4.81
3.62
0.51
93.86
1989
 
12,090
135.8
0.01
3.54
0.51
92.06
1990
 
12,158
136.6
0.56
3.57
0.50
90.76
1991
 
11,973
134.5
-1.52
3.58
0.49
90.16
1992
 
12,195
137.0
1.85
3.57
0.50
92.04
1993
 
12,486
140.2
2.39
3.58
0.50
92.99
1994
 
12,999
146.0
4.11
3.63
0.52
94.69
1995
 
13,250
148.8
1.93
3.66
0.53
94.54
1996
 
13,162
147.8
-0.66
3.59
0.52
92.11
1997
 
13,269
149.0
0.81
3.56
0.52
90.87
1998
 
13,443
151.0
1.31
3.53
0.52
90.38
1999
 
13,925
156.4
3.59
3.57
0.53
92.33
2000
 
14,632
164.3
5.08
3.65
0.56
94.85
2001
 
14,692
165.0
0.41
3.64
0.56
95.66
2002
 
14,865
167.0
1.18
3.66
0.56
97.58
2003
 
15,093
169.5
1.53
3.72
0.56
98.07
2004
 
15,409
173.1
2.09
3.73
0.57
98.74
2005
 
15,399
173.0
-0.06
3.69
0.57
96.99
2006
 
15,478
173.9
0.51
3.68
0.57
96.49
2007
 
15,647
175.7
1.09
3.68
0.57
96.05
2008
 
15,728
176.7
0.52
3.71
0.58
97.87
2009
 
15,477
173.8
-1.60
3.74
0.57
100.40
2010
 
15,418
173.2
-0.38
3.73
0.57
101.21
2011
 
15,596
175.2
1.15
3.74
0.57
101.33
2012
 
16,010
179.8
2.65
3.80
0.59
103.10
2013
 
16,269
182.7
1.62
3.83
0.60
103.55
2014
 
16,390
184.1
0.74
3.82
0.60
103.19
2015
 
16,467
185.0
0.47
3.81
0.60
102.04
2016
 
16,525
185.6
0.35
3.81
0.61
102.49
2017
 
16,623
186.7
0.59
3.81
0.61
101.79
2018
 
16,650
187.0
0.16
3.80
0.61
100.36
2019
 
16,447
184.7
-1.22
3.79
0.60
98.42
2020
 
15,464
173.7
-5.98
3.78
0.56
95.79
2021
 
15,986
179.6
3.38
3.80
0.58
94.85
2022
 
16,446
184.7
2.88
3.77
0.59
93.26
Source: Calculations by the Vermont Regional Economic Analysis Project (VT-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Vermont:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
202,578
100.0
N
0.22
0.46
102.48
1970
 
205,015
101.2
1.20
0.22
0.46
102.56
1971
 
205,729
101.6
0.35
0.22
0.45
102.25
1972
 
211,203
104.3
2.66
0.22
0.46
101.17
1973
 
219,986
108.6
4.16
0.22
0.47
100.82
1974
 
222,240
109.7
1.02
0.22
0.47
100.09
1975
 
220,329
108.8
-0.86
0.22
0.46
100.02
1976
 
228,487
112.8
3.70
0.22
0.47
100.86
1977
 
236,484
116.7
3.50
0.23
0.48
100.52
1978
 
251,752
124.3
6.46
0.23
0.51
102.30
1979
 
260,666
128.7
3.54
0.23
0.52
102.30
1980
 
265,618
131.1
1.90
0.23
0.52
103.31
1981
 
269,992
133.3
1.65
0.23
0.52
104.57
1982
 
271,070
133.8
0.40
0.24
0.52
105.96
1983
 
277,388
136.9
2.33
0.24
0.53
107.16
1984
 
288,739
142.5
4.09
0.24
0.55
107.27
1985
 
300,062
148.1
3.92
0.24
0.57
108.80
1986
 
311,372
153.7
3.77
0.25
0.58
110.91
1987
 
320,497
158.2
2.93
0.25
0.59
110.95
1988
 
334,186
165.0
4.27
0.25
0.61
111.28
1989
 
341,223
168.4
2.11
0.25
0.61
110.89
1990
 
340,784
168.2
-0.13
0.25
0.60
108.88
1991
 
334,190
165.0
-1.93
0.24
0.59
108.05
1992
 
341,722
168.7
2.25
0.25
0.60
110.77
1993
 
349,250
172.4
2.20
0.25
0.60
111.61
1994
 
358,528
177.0
2.66
0.25
0.61
112.06
1995
 
361,825
178.6
0.92
0.24
0.61
110.59
1996
 
367,074
181.2
1.45
0.24
0.62
110.26
1997
 
372,613
183.9
1.51
0.24
0.62
110.07
1998
 
381,006
188.1
2.25
0.24
0.63
110.45
1999
 
389,726
192.4
2.29
0.24
0.64
111.34
2000
 
400,963
197.9
2.88
0.24
0.66
112.22
2001
 
403,836
199.3
0.72
0.24
0.66
113.56
2002
 
405,648
200.2
0.45
0.25
0.66
114.83
2003
 
406,047
200.4
0.10
0.24
0.66
114.91
2004
 
413,086
203.9
1.73
0.24
0.67
115.56
2005
 
417,100
205.9
0.97
0.24
0.67
115.13
2006
 
421,001
207.8
0.94
0.24
0.68
114.67
2007
 
425,046
209.8
0.96
0.24
0.68
114.38
2008
 
424,280
209.4
-0.18
0.24
0.68
115.35
2009
 
414,213
204.5
-2.37
0.24
0.66
117.12
2010
 
413,335
204.0
-0.21
0.24
0.66
118.08
2011
 
416,949
205.8
0.87
0.24
0.66
117.28
2012
 
421,870
208.3
1.18
0.24
0.67
117.49
2013
 
424,997
209.8
0.74
0.23
0.67
116.67
2014
 
429,010
211.8
0.94
0.23
0.68
116.03
2015
 
432,560
213.5
0.83
0.23
0.68
115.03
2016
 
433,791
214.1
0.28
0.22
0.68
114.32
2017
 
435,861
215.2
0.48
0.22
0.68
113.43
2018
 
437,661
216.0
0.41
0.22
0.68
112.06
2019
 
433,442
214.0
-0.96
0.21
0.68
110.60
2020
 
409,316
202.1
-5.57
0.21
0.64
108.08
2021
 
421,226
207.9
2.91
0.21
0.65
106.62
2022
 
436,306
215.4
3.58
0.21
0.67
105.78
Source: Calculations by the Vermont Regional Economic Analysis Project (VT-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
91,053,200
100.0
N
0.45
1970
 
91,277,600
100.2
0.25
0.45
1971
 
91,581,400
100.6
0.33
0.44
1972
 
94,312,200
103.6
2.98
0.45
1973
 
98,427,500
108.1
4.36
0.47
1974
 
100,111,800
109.9
1.71
0.47
1975
 
98,900,600
108.6
-1.21
0.46
1976
 
101,591,200
111.6
2.72
0.47
1977
 
105,042,200
115.4
3.40
0.48
1978
 
109,686,600
120.5
4.42
0.49
1979
 
113,147,100
124.3
3.15
0.50
1980
 
113,983,200
125.2
0.74
0.50
1981
 
114,914,000
126.2
0.82
0.50
1982
 
114,163,300
125.4
-0.65
0.49
1983
 
115,645,700
127.0
1.30
0.49
1984
 
120,528,100
132.4
4.22
0.51
1985
 
123,796,700
136.0
2.71
0.52
1986
 
126,232,300
138.6
1.97
0.53
1987
 
129,548,400
142.3
2.63
0.53
1988
 
133,563,900
146.7
3.10
0.55
1989
 
136,177,800
149.6
1.96
0.55
1990
 
138,330,900
151.9
1.58
0.55
1991
 
137,612,800
151.1
-0.52
0.54
1992
 
138,166,100
151.7
0.40
0.54
1993
 
140,774,400
154.6
1.89
0.54
1994
 
144,196,600
158.4
2.43
0.55
1995
 
147,915,800
162.4
2.58
0.56
1996
 
151,056,200
165.9
2.12
0.56
1997
 
154,541,200
169.7
2.31
0.57
1998
 
158,481,200
174.1
2.55
0.57
1999
 
161,531,300
177.4
1.92
0.58
2000
 
165,370,800
181.6
2.38
0.59
2001
 
165,522,200
181.8
0.09
0.58
2002
 
165,095,100
181.3
-0.26
0.57
2003
 
165,921,500
182.2
0.50
0.57
2004
 
168,839,700
185.4
1.76
0.58
2005
 
172,338,400
189.3
2.07
0.58
2006
 
175,868,600
193.1
2.05
0.59
2007
 
179,543,700
197.2
2.09
0.60
2008
 
179,213,900
196.8
-0.18
0.59
2009
 
173,636,700
190.7
-3.11
0.57
2010
 
172,901,700
189.9
-0.42
0.56
2011
 
176,091,700
193.4
1.84
0.56
2012
 
178,979,700
196.6
1.64
0.57
2013
 
182,328,100
200.2
1.87
0.58
2014
 
186,239,800
204.5
2.15
0.58
2015
 
190,325,800
209.0
2.19
0.59
2016
 
193,425,900
212.4
1.63
0.60
2017
 
196,394,100
215.7
1.53
0.60
2018
 
200,292,200
220.0
1.98
0.61
2019
 
201,635,200
221.4
0.67
0.61
2020
 
195,286,600
214.5
-3.15
0.59
2021
 
202,752,100
222.7
3.82
0.61
2022
 
212,442,000
233.3
4.78
0.64
Source: Calculations by the Vermont Regional Economic Analysis Project (VT-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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