| Orange County vs. Vermont Comparative Trends Analysis: Total Industry Earnings Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction Orange County: 2022 Earnings = $656,903K 2022 Percent of State = 2.48% Vermont: 2022 Earnings = $26,500,469K 2022 Percent of U.S. = 0.17% Industry earnings are incomes received by people who are directly involved with producing goods and services. Earnings, referred to also as "labor and proprietors income", include (1) wage and salary disbursements, (2) other labor income such as employer contributions to private retirement and medical insurance programs, and (3) the net incomes of proprietors (i.e., the owners of unincorporated enterprises). In contrast to the more frequently cited employment data, earnings data more accurately reflect qualitative differences in labor's contributions toward the production of goods and services, namely the productivity differences reflected in variations in earnings per job. Earnings data, therefore, are better for comparing and tracking long-term trends and identifying short-run shifts in the level and composition of economic activity within and among counties. Just like the employment data compiled by BEA, earnings data are reported on a place-of-work, or more accurately on a place-where-earned, basis. Note: the BEA earnings data presented and discussed here in the context of comparing and assessing the economic growth and performance of county and regional economies are entirely separate and apart from--and should not be confused with--corporate earnings, which are compiled from the balance sheets of individual private corporations. Figure 1. Figure 1 depicts Orange County's annual total industry earnings over 1970-2022 in current and constant (2017) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Orange County over time. When measured in current dollars, Orange County's total industry earnings increased 1,780.52%, from $35M in 1970 to $657M in 2022. When measured in constant 2017 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 220.32%, from $177M in 1970 to $566M in 2022. Figure 2. Figure 2 tracks Orange County's and Vermont's annual real total industry earnings for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate real total industry earnings patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Orange County's real total industry earnings rose from $178M in 1969 to $566M in 2022, for a net gain of $389M, or 218.79%. In comparison, Vermont's real total industry earnings advanced from $6,501M in 1969 to $22,837M in 2022, for a net gain of $16,336M, or 251.28%. Figure 3. Figure 3 portrays Orange County's real total industry earnings growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Vermont, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real total industry earnings in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real total industry earningss in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real total industry earnings growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. Orange County's overall real total industry earnings growth was 218.79% over 1969-2022 trailed Vermont's increase of 251.28%, and fell below the United States' increase of 278.59%. Figure 4. Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the total industry earnings growth of Orange County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to Vermont's statewide total industry earnings over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total industry earnings grew faster, or declined less, than Vermont's total industry earnings, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, Orange County's total industry earnings comprised 2.73% of Vermont's total industry earnings, while in 2022 it comprised 2.48% thereby yielding a -0.25% share-shift. | | | | Total Industry Earnings Share-Shift 2022 vs. 1969 | Share- Shift* | | 2022 | vs. | 1969 | | -0.25% | = | 2.48% | - | 2.73% |
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Figure 5. Figure 5 shows the short-run pattern of Orange County's real total industry earnings growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, Orange County's real total industry earnings grew at an annual rate of 2.32% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 1987 (13.08%) and posted its lowest growth in 1974 (-8.13%). In 2022, Orange County's real total industry earnings grew by 0.30% Figure 6. Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again traces the annual percent change in Orange County's real total industry earnings since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, Orange County's annual real total industry earnings growth rate averaged 2.95%. It averaged 4.05% during the 1980s, 1.99% during the 1990s, 2.05% during the 2000s, 1.04% throughout the 2010s, 0.79% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Figure 7. Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Orange County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Vermont and the nation. As the chart reveals, Orange County's average annual real total industry earnings growth recorded under Vermont's average throughout the 1970s (2.95% vs. 2.97%), exceeded Vermont's average during the 1980s (4.05% vs. 3.81%), recorded under Vermont's average during the 1990s (1.99% vs. 2.67%), topped Vermont's average in the 2000s (2.05% vs. 1.73%), trailed Vermont's average throughout the 2010s (1.04% vs. 1.33%), and lagged Vermont's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (0.79% vs. 1.35%). Finally, relative to nationwide real total industry earnings growth trends, Orange County trailed the nation throughout the 1970s (2.95% vs. 3.13%), surpassed the nation throughout the 1980s (4.05% vs. 2.62%), trailed the nation during the 1990s (1.99% vs. 3.43%), registered above the nation during the 2000s (2.05% vs. 1.47%), trailed the nation throughout the 2010s (1.04% vs. 2.53%), and fell below the nation over 2020-2022 (0.79% vs. 1.48%). | | | | Real* Total Industry Earnings Growth: Average Annual Percent Change | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2.32 | 2.95 | 4.05 | 1.99 | 2.05 | 1.04 | 0.79 | 0.30 | | | 2.44 | 2.97 | 3.81 | 2.67 | 1.73 | 1.33 | 1.35 | 0.82 | | | 2.57 | 3.13 | 2.62 | 3.43 | 1.47 | 2.53 | 1.48 | 0.05 |
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Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | Orange County: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 33,531 | 0.189 | 177,572 | 100.0 | N | 2.73 | 1970 | | 34,932 | 0.198 | 176,728 | 99.5 | -0.48 | 2.64 | 1971 | | 37,522 | 0.206 | 182,101 | 102.6 | 3.04 | 2.68 | 1972 | | 43,452 | 0.213 | 203,923 | 114.8 | 11.98 | 2.83 | 1973 | | 48,587 | 0.225 | 216,375 | 121.9 | 6.11 | 2.87 | 1974 | | 49,285 | 0.248 | 198,786 | 111.9 | -8.13 | 2.76 | 1975 | | 49,315 | 0.269 | 183,600 | 103.4 | -7.64 | 2.62 | 1976 | | 58,205 | 0.283 | 205,432 | 115.7 | 11.89 | 2.74 | 1977 | | 61,842 | 0.302 | 204,938 | 115.4 | -0.24 | 2.68 | 1978 | | 73,739 | 0.323 | 228,464 | 128.7 | 11.48 | 2.72 | 1979 | | 81,454 | 0.351 | 231,779 | 130.5 | 1.45 | 2.68 | 1980 | | 85,727 | 0.389 | 220,219 | 124.0 | -4.99 | 2.60 | 1981 | | 92,667 | 0.424 | 218,477 | 123.0 | -0.79 | 2.56 | 1982 | | 94,360 | 0.448 | 210,761 | 118.7 | -3.53 | 2.47 | 1983 | | 103,367 | 0.467 | 221,456 | 124.7 | 5.07 | 2.51 | 1984 | | 115,283 | 0.484 | 237,996 | 134.0 | 7.47 | 2.53 | 1985 | | 130,470 | 0.501 | 260,274 | 146.6 | 9.36 | 2.61 | 1986 | | 141,135 | 0.512 | 275,552 | 155.2 | 5.87 | 2.59 | 1987 | | 164,533 | 0.528 | 311,604 | 175.5 | 13.08 | 2.72 | 1988 | | 186,123 | 0.549 | 339,238 | 191.0 | 8.87 | 2.81 | 1989 | | 194,400 | 0.573 | 339,498 | 191.2 | 0.08 | 2.71 | 1990 | | 197,967 | 0.598 | 331,187 | 186.5 | -2.45 | 2.67 | 1991 | | 195,932 | 0.618 | 317,176 | 178.6 | -4.23 | 2.61 | 1992 | | 212,718 | 0.634 | 335,412 | 188.9 | 5.75 | 2.64 | 1993 | | 221,186 | 0.650 | 340,286 | 191.6 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1994 | | 234,983 | 0.664 | 354,125 | 199.4 | 4.07 | 2.68 | 1995 | | 241,668 | 0.678 | 356,684 | 200.9 | 0.72 | 2.66 | 1996 | | 253,866 | 0.692 | 366,842 | 206.6 | 2.85 | 2.65 | 1997 | | 259,651 | 0.704 | 368,786 | 207.7 | 0.53 | 2.58 | 1998 | | 276,375 | 0.710 | 389,442 | 219.3 | 5.60 | 2.55 | 1999 | | 296,167 | 0.720 | 411,337 | 231.6 | 5.62 | 2.53 | 2000 | | 310,135 | 0.738 | 420,112 | 236.6 | 2.13 | 2.44 | 2001 | | 355,856 | 0.753 | 472,572 | 266.1 | 12.49 | 2.63 | 2002 | | 379,404 | 0.763 | 497,312 | 280.1 | 5.24 | 2.72 | 2003 | | 381,624 | 0.779 | 489,927 | 275.9 | -1.48 | 2.64 | 2004 | | 399,326 | 0.798 | 500,239 | 281.7 | 2.10 | 2.61 | 2005 | | 415,889 | 0.821 | 506,397 | 285.2 | 1.23 | 2.63 | 2006 | | 446,088 | 0.844 | 528,290 | 297.5 | 4.32 | 2.74 | 2007 | | 452,243 | 0.866 | 522,178 | 294.1 | -1.16 | 2.69 | 2008 | | 445,996 | 0.892 | 500,164 | 281.7 | -4.22 | 2.57 | 2009 | | 444,057 | 0.889 | 499,384 | 281.2 | -0.16 | 2.60 | 2010 | | 469,875 | 0.905 | 519,119 | 292.3 | 3.95 | 2.64 | 2011 | | 490,567 | 0.928 | 528,605 | 297.7 | 1.83 | 2.64 | 2012 | | 498,240 | 0.945 | 527,048 | 296.8 | -0.29 | 2.63 | 2013 | | 498,264 | 0.958 | 520,212 | 293.0 | -1.30 | 2.57 | 2014 | | 504,559 | 0.971 | 519,516 | 292.6 | -0.13 | 2.57 | 2015 | | 505,599 | 0.973 | 519,634 | 292.6 | 0.02 | 2.51 | 2016 | | 504,201 | 0.983 | 513,004 | 288.9 | -1.28 | 2.46 | 2017 | | 526,077 | 1.000 | 526,077 | 296.3 | 2.55 | 2.49 | 2018 | | 550,010 | 1.020 | 538,977 | 303.5 | 2.45 | 2.52 | 2019 | | 572,563 | 1.035 | 553,131 | 311.5 | 2.63 | 2.52 | 2020 | | 572,384 | 1.046 | 547,029 | 308.1 | -1.10 | 2.49 | 2021 | | 615,183 | 1.090 | 564,383 | 317.8 | 3.17 | 2.49 | 2022 | | 656,903 | 1.160 | 566,086 | 318.8 | 0.30 | 2.48 |
Source: Calculations by the Vermont Regional Economic Analysis Project (VT-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | Vermont: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 1,227,584 | 0.189 | 6,501,001 | 100.0 | N | 0.19 | 1970 | | 1,320,775 | 0.198 | 6,682,055 | 102.8 | 2.79 | 0.19 | 1971 | | 1,399,716 | 0.206 | 6,793,089 | 104.5 | 1.66 | 0.19 | 1972 | | 1,535,665 | 0.213 | 7,206,988 | 110.9 | 6.09 | 0.19 | 1973 | | 1,691,241 | 0.225 | 7,531,690 | 115.9 | 4.51 | 0.18 | 1974 | | 1,784,368 | 0.248 | 7,197,064 | 110.7 | -4.44 | 0.18 | 1975 | | 1,884,015 | 0.269 | 7,014,203 | 107.9 | -2.54 | 0.18 | 1976 | | 2,121,519 | 0.283 | 7,487,802 | 115.2 | 6.75 | 0.18 | 1977 | | 2,310,209 | 0.302 | 7,655,783 | 117.8 | 2.24 | 0.18 | 1978 | | 2,708,931 | 0.323 | 8,393,020 | 129.1 | 9.63 | 0.18 | 1979 | | 3,038,824 | 0.351 | 8,647,025 | 133.0 | 3.03 | 0.18 | 1980 | | 3,299,425 | 0.389 | 8,475,712 | 130.4 | -1.98 | 0.18 | 1981 | | 3,626,776 | 0.424 | 8,550,692 | 131.5 | 0.88 | 0.18 | 1982 | | 3,822,058 | 0.448 | 8,536,906 | 131.3 | -0.16 | 0.19 | 1983 | | 4,121,902 | 0.467 | 8,830,881 | 135.8 | 3.44 | 0.19 | 1984 | | 4,553,227 | 0.484 | 9,399,919 | 144.6 | 6.44 | 0.19 | 1985 | | 5,005,704 | 0.501 | 9,985,844 | 153.6 | 6.23 | 0.19 | 1986 | | 5,451,937 | 0.512 | 10,644,364 | 163.7 | 6.59 | 0.20 | 1987 | | 6,047,853 | 0.528 | 11,453,833 | 176.2 | 7.60 | 0.20 | 1988 | | 6,625,639 | 0.549 | 12,076,258 | 185.8 | 5.43 | 0.20 | 1989 | | 7,167,531 | 0.573 | 12,517,300 | 192.5 | 3.65 | 0.21 | 1990 | | 7,421,189 | 0.598 | 12,415,205 | 191.0 | -0.82 | 0.20 | 1991 | | 7,502,931 | 0.618 | 12,145,775 | 186.8 | -2.17 | 0.20 | 1992 | | 8,063,944 | 0.634 | 12,715,143 | 195.6 | 4.69 | 0.20 | 1993 | | 8,411,612 | 0.650 | 12,940,942 | 199.1 | 1.78 | 0.20 | 1994 | | 8,779,568 | 0.664 | 13,231,009 | 203.5 | 2.24 | 0.20 | 1995 | | 9,074,376 | 0.678 | 13,393,122 | 206.0 | 1.23 | 0.19 | 1996 | | 9,582,795 | 0.692 | 13,847,369 | 213.0 | 3.39 | 0.19 | 1997 | | 10,059,895 | 0.704 | 14,288,203 | 219.8 | 3.18 | 0.19 | 1998 | | 10,834,640 | 0.710 | 15,267,152 | 234.8 | 6.85 | 0.19 | 1999 | | 11,689,580 | 0.720 | 16,235,302 | 249.7 | 6.34 | 0.19 | 2000 | | 12,684,504 | 0.738 | 17,182,553 | 264.3 | 5.83 | 0.19 | 2001 | | 13,506,631 | 0.753 | 17,936,617 | 275.9 | 4.39 | 0.20 | 2002 | | 13,966,633 | 0.763 | 18,307,052 | 281.6 | 2.07 | 0.20 | 2003 | | 14,463,890 | 0.779 | 18,568,683 | 285.6 | 1.43 | 0.20 | 2004 | | 15,311,602 | 0.798 | 19,180,981 | 295.0 | 3.30 | 0.20 | 2005 | | 15,785,712 | 0.821 | 19,221,099 | 295.7 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 2006 | | 16,275,061 | 0.844 | 19,274,113 | 296.5 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 2007 | | 16,831,322 | 0.866 | 19,434,136 | 298.9 | 0.83 | 0.19 | 2008 | | 17,352,245 | 0.892 | 19,459,734 | 299.3 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 2009 | | 17,104,575 | 0.889 | 19,235,698 | 295.9 | -1.15 | 0.20 | 2010 | | 17,797,100 | 0.905 | 19,662,262 | 302.4 | 2.22 | 0.20 | 2011 | | 18,586,425 | 0.928 | 20,027,612 | 308.1 | 1.86 | 0.20 | 2012 | | 18,975,648 | 0.945 | 20,072,829 | 308.8 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 2013 | | 19,395,900 | 0.958 | 20,250,258 | 311.5 | 0.88 | 0.19 | 2014 | | 19,667,799 | 0.971 | 20,250,820 | 311.5 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 2015 | | 20,159,407 | 0.973 | 20,719,028 | 318.7 | 2.31 | 0.18 | 2016 | | 20,489,536 | 0.983 | 20,847,275 | 320.7 | 0.62 | 0.18 | 2017 | | 21,136,196 | 1.000 | 21,136,196 | 325.1 | 1.39 | 0.18 | 2018 | | 21,843,878 | 1.020 | 21,405,703 | 329.3 | 1.28 | 0.18 | 2019 | | 22,713,633 | 1.035 | 21,942,783 | 337.5 | 2.51 | 0.17 | 2020 | | 22,972,483 | 1.046 | 21,954,875 | 337.7 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 2021 | | 24,690,366 | 1.090 | 22,651,504 | 348.4 | 3.17 | 0.17 | 2022 | | 26,500,469 | 1.160 | 22,836,767 | 351.3 | 0.82 | 0.17 |
Source: Calculations by the Vermont Regional Economic Analysis Project (VT-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | United States: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 653,665,000 | 0.189 | 3,461,658,635 | 100.0 | N | 1970 | | 693,352,000 | 0.198 | 3,507,801,275 | 101.3 | 1.33 | 1971 | | 742,094,000 | 0.206 | 3,601,523,902 | 104.0 | 2.67 | 1972 | | 819,646,000 | 0.213 | 3,846,658,532 | 111.1 | 6.81 | 1973 | | 918,964,000 | 0.225 | 4,092,469,383 | 118.2 | 6.39 | 1974 | | 993,909,000 | 0.248 | 4,008,829,105 | 115.8 | -2.04 | 1975 | | 1,059,492,000 | 0.269 | 3,944,497,394 | 113.9 | -1.60 | 1976 | | 1,173,271,000 | 0.283 | 4,141,005,188 | 119.6 | 4.98 | 1977 | | 1,303,767,000 | 0.302 | 4,320,542,816 | 124.8 | 4.34 | 1978 | | 1,476,080,000 | 0.323 | 4,573,305,242 | 132.1 | 5.85 | 1979 | | 1,648,363,000 | 0.351 | 4,690,444,754 | 135.5 | 2.56 | 1980 | | 1,784,597,000 | 0.389 | 4,584,353,165 | 132.4 | -2.26 | 1981 | | 1,961,173,000 | 0.424 | 4,623,772,250 | 133.6 | 0.86 | 1982 | | 2,053,729,000 | 0.448 | 4,587,185,902 | 132.5 | -0.79 | 1983 | | 2,188,018,000 | 0.467 | 4,687,672,466 | 135.4 | 2.19 | 1984 | | 2,432,402,000 | 0.484 | 5,021,577,654 | 145.1 | 7.12 | 1985 | | 2,615,791,000 | 0.501 | 5,218,223,348 | 150.7 | 3.92 | 1986 | | 2,786,901,000 | 0.512 | 5,441,146,840 | 157.2 | 4.27 | 1987 | | 2,996,000,000 | 0.528 | 5,674,027,499 | 163.9 | 4.28 | 1988 | | 3,259,979,000 | 0.549 | 5,941,819,010 | 171.6 | 4.72 | 1989 | | 3,467,027,000 | 0.573 | 6,054,778,994 | 174.9 | 1.90 | 1990 | | 3,679,460,000 | 0.598 | 6,155,516,520 | 177.8 | 1.66 | 1991 | | 3,789,428,000 | 0.618 | 6,134,341,309 | 177.2 | -0.34 | 1992 | | 4,059,023,000 | 0.634 | 6,400,225,481 | 184.9 | 4.33 | 1993 | | 4,237,437,000 | 0.650 | 6,519,133,846 | 188.3 | 1.86 | 1994 | | 4,456,948,000 | 0.664 | 6,716,721,924 | 194.0 | 3.03 | 1995 | | 4,674,849,000 | 0.678 | 6,899,738,761 | 199.3 | 2.72 | 1996 | | 4,956,180,000 | 0.692 | 7,161,799,344 | 206.9 | 3.80 | 1997 | | 5,288,047,000 | 0.704 | 7,510,683,597 | 217.0 | 4.87 | 1998 | | 5,707,014,000 | 0.710 | 8,041,785,619 | 232.3 | 7.07 | 1999 | | 6,098,042,000 | 0.720 | 8,469,385,147 | 244.7 | 5.32 | 2000 | | 6,598,743,000 | 0.738 | 8,938,721,519 | 258.2 | 5.54 | 2001 | | 6,865,291,000 | 0.753 | 9,117,010,172 | 263.4 | 1.99 | 2002 | | 7,001,002,000 | 0.763 | 9,176,707,606 | 265.1 | 0.65 | 2003 | | 7,243,377,000 | 0.779 | 9,299,017,896 | 268.6 | 1.33 | 2004 | | 7,674,785,000 | 0.798 | 9,614,272,113 | 277.7 | 3.39 | 2005 | | 8,039,238,000 | 0.821 | 9,788,788,097 | 282.8 | 1.82 | 2006 | | 8,519,349,000 | 0.844 | 10,089,233,775 | 291.5 | 3.07 | 2007 | | 8,866,261,000 | 0.866 | 10,237,349,175 | 295.7 | 1.47 | 2008 | | 9,014,085,000 | 0.892 | 10,108,876,304 | 292.0 | -1.25 | 2009 | | 8,688,913,000 | 0.889 | 9,771,497,172 | 282.3 | -3.34 | 2010 | | 9,023,916,000 | 0.905 | 9,969,635,637 | 288.0 | 2.03 | 2011 | | 9,444,387,000 | 0.928 | 10,176,702,513 | 294.0 | 2.08 | 2012 | | 9,854,834,000 | 0.945 | 10,424,645,101 | 301.1 | 2.44 | 2013 | | 10,180,570,000 | 0.958 | 10,629,007,841 | 307.0 | 1.96 | 2014 | | 10,613,874,000 | 0.971 | 10,928,505,678 | 315.7 | 2.82 | 2015 | | 11,039,821,000 | 0.973 | 11,346,284,134 | 327.8 | 3.82 | 2016 | | 11,311,477,000 | 0.983 | 11,508,970,941 | 332.5 | 1.43 | 2017 | | 11,848,205,000 | 1.000 | 11,848,205,000 | 342.3 | 2.95 | 2018 | | 12,438,590,000 | 1.020 | 12,189,079,542 | 352.1 | 2.88 | 2019 | | 12,989,097,000 | 1.035 | 12,548,276,062 | 362.5 | 2.95 | 2020 | | 13,158,025,000 | 1.046 | 12,575,166,053 | 363.3 | 0.21 | 2021 | | 14,278,043,000 | 1.090 | 13,099,001,844 | 378.4 | 4.17 | 2022 | | 15,207,952,000 | 1.160 | 13,105,445,395 | 378.6 | 0.05 |
Source: Calculations by the Vermont Regional Economic Analysis Project (VT-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PN | | | | |
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